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The Doge πŸ”—
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Taleb and the one law πŸ”—
1546560005  

🏷️ blog

For those not aware, I'm a large proponent of the Stoic insights. One of the primary ones I promote is that virtue is not only it's own reward but it's only reward. The other half of this coin, which many do not discover, is that this is a good thing. When altruism is to be rewarded, it is all to easy to fake, with attendant and catastrophic costs to society.

One of the most prominent such failures in our modern society is what is popularly called "Virtue Signaling"; a term which once was simply referred to as "putting on a show". Politics is infested with this, as its practitioners overcompensate for their lack of real virtue with an abundance of such fake virtue.

In any case, it is heartening to realize that this is fundamentally what Nicholas Taleb has been groping for all these years. His Intellectual yet Idiot concept is an expression of this; however that is merely a generalization of his core inisght. Namely, that people are applying the wrong model entirely when it comes to dealing with uncertain events.

As explored here previously, people try a variety of schemes to curve-fit us into Procrustes' Iron Bed; the most popular of these are called "laws". In reality, a far simpler model works: "Do as thou wilt, but be prepared for the consequences". I have come to realize more and more that it's the latter half of that statement that nearly all of civilization's distortions are built to try and avoid.

Taleb's SITG (Skin In The Game) is a powerful argument for why not attempting to expand past that one rule is desirable; the further we insulate ourselves from consequence, the more foolish we necessarily become, until survival itself is threatened. He is pilloried by his detractors for "not providing answers", but they simply do not listen when he advises that rather than worry about the fact consequences happen (X), we instead concern ourselves with how our response effects ourselves and the system as a whole (f(x)) -- being prepared for consequences.

That core insight returns right back to stoicism. The wise stoic concerns himself not with the affairs of the world which are not under his control. He instead concerns himself with what he can control; e.g. the reaction to said events (f(x)).

As such it is unsurprising Taleb has drifted increasingly into the Austrian Economist camp. They are the most closely aligned with these particular insights; indeed his discussion of fat tail risk is quite a damning explanation of nearly all extant centralized economic planning's failure. As an apriori theory as to why information theory and risk must necessarily behave so, Praxeology is in perfect harmony.

The one law is simply a necessary lemma of the core praxeological axiom: "Man Acts on limited information and other means to achieve specific ends". This necessarily implies that circumstances may align such that practically anything may be seen as virtuous or licentious at the time, depending on the context understood to the actors involved.

As such, the wisdom of "live and let live" an "Love thy Neighbor" becomes ever clearer -- as one man's virtue may be another man's vice, all attempts to centrally plan and impose a return curve on the necessarily transactional relationships between humans are doomed to failure. All we can do therefore is simply gird ourselves against the reality of the situation in pursuance of our own ends.


Liberland Update πŸ”—
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🏷️ news
Hangin' out with EuroParl. Sounds like they're gonna get an embassy and start causing trouble.

The CIA's afghan death squads πŸ”—
1546536189  

🏷️ news
MAKING FRIENDS

9/11 Insurance docs supposedly out there πŸ”—
1546535039  

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In a ransom scheme against the insurance scammers involved in the towers coming down.

Blackwater back in Business πŸ”—
1546534969  

🏷️ news
Sounds like Prince has secured some lucrative Deep State contracts now that the troops are getting pulled out.

Infra Hexa Vaccine: No antigens, plenty of poison πŸ”—
1546534829  

🏷️ news
The new Italian government proving to get rowdy. Here's hoping it keeps up:
In Infanrix Hexa we found

chemical contamination from the manufacturing process or cross-contamination with other manufacturing lines; chemical toxins; bacterial peptide toxins; insoluble and indigestible macromolecule that reacts to the protein assay, but cannot be recognized by any protein databases.

We have not found:

Protein antigens of diphtheria toxoids, tetanus, pertussis, hepatitis B, haemophylus influenzae B, Poliomyelitis 1-2-3;

Formaldehyde and glutaraldehyde, phenoxyethanol, antibiotic residues indicated in the composition;

NY Slimes: Time to get out of Afghanistan πŸ”—
1546532969  

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IT'S HELPING THE RUSSKIES!!!!!1

Trump: I fired Mattis over lack of results in Afghanistan πŸ”—
1546532909  

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Damn straight. Guy is a moron COINdinista.

China makes it to the far side of the moon πŸ”—
1546532320  

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Here's hoping they find something interesting, rather than it being a bust as cover for ICBM research like all other space programs.

Syria Update πŸ”—
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The "Withdrawl" of US forces is really just slinking across the Iraqi border. Meanwhile, the YPG is making the smart move and working on re-joining Syria.

Another year, another gun grab πŸ”—
1546531670  

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No more bump stocks, despite rubber bands working better.

US interest payments starting to explode πŸ”—
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I predicted this would begin to happen when rates hit ~3% roughly 4 years ago. It's just basic math folks.

The troops are coming home from Afghanistan! πŸ”—
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Not all of 'em, but still! This is the beginning of the end for the forever war. Put coal in all the neocons' stockings!

Hodeidah assault fails πŸ”—
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Ceasfire and UN observers moving in. The Saudis have failed.

Yet another reporter outed for making shit up πŸ”—
1545238931  

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A Der Spiegel bozo this time.

The troops are coming home from Syria! πŸ”—
1545208620  

🏷️ news
Finally, real good news on the war front! This is on the heels of the Yemen war pullback -- Has the antiwar moment finally arrived? It's probably too much to hope for a Christmas peace with the Taliban.

Latest Ginned up Syria CB πŸ”—
1544963765  

🏷️ news
US Citizen killed by "animal assad". Like in WWI, I guess we have an inalienable right to wander around warzones which must be protected at all costs.

Audit hammer still falling on broke losers looking for benefits, I see πŸ”—
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🏷️ news
"Progressive" taxation. Ha Ha Ha. Taxation is always and everywhere regressive. A dead-weight loss.

Thankfully, audits are way down in general due to the sensible Trump policy of making the satanic IRS suck hind tit.

Philadelphia: systematic looting by the DA πŸ”—
1544959430  

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Good ol' asset forfeiture abused as a property source for a real-estate flipping scam.

Streaming has won πŸ”—
1544958525  

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Cable is dead. Finally.

Great breakdown of trends since '08 πŸ”—
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🏷️ news
Flight from the countryside to pack the cities. "This is what the beginning of a collapse looks like" -- The median county lost 6% of jobs and businesses over the last 10 years.
To underscore the weak magnitude and geographic unevenness of new business formation, consider that the country as a whole contained only 52,800 more business establishments in 2016 than it did in 2007. Five counties alone surpassed that, with a combined 55,500 more businesses in 2016 than before the recession: Los Angeles, CA; Brooklyn, NY; Harris, TX (Houston); Queens, NY; and Miami-Dade, FL. Without those five counties, the U.S. would still contain fewer active business establishments than it had before the recession.
And the city slickers are still puzzled as to why MAGA worked.

Big Dox drop on whitehall's latest propaganda op πŸ”—
1544954308  

🏷️ news
The "Integrity Initiative" has briefly been covered here before, but it just keeps getting worse, as expected.

Macron: BilderBoy πŸ”—
1544952200  

🏷️ news
A much more accurate assessment than "Rothschild Stooge". More like KKR stooge.

Great Interview with Imran Khan πŸ”—
1544952070  

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He strikes me as the most sane leader Pakistan has had in some time. His economics is muddled, but that's less important than his solid stance on the war.

Operation Timber Sycamore continuing πŸ”—
1544952014  

🏷️ news
E.G. Arming jihadis. Despite Trumpian claims to the contrary.

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