Big T says 2 weeks, Hersh says this weekend. While the timing is ultimately irrelevant, this seems likely to happen, as the (corrupt, self-interested) motivation is the same as the Iraq and anti-daesh intervention; to steal oil and enrich a few Israeli firms our elites are balls deep in alongside our defense industry. We're also due another war (US goes in on average every 6 years).

If the theory from this book is ultimately correct, I would suspect the same forces remain at work. My prediction for such a scenario is that we'll go for a civil-war causing regime change operation with revanchist ethnic Azeris expanding the oil theft about Tabriz. This will enrich the Turks & Azeris enough to go along.

This will torch the MAGA movement entirely, and we'll get neoliberal regimes until the ship fully goes under.

It remains a very real question whether full on regime change is actually logistically possible for the US to pull off. The possibility that this turns into a real debacle is nonzero.

UPDATE: Signs the Euros are onboard. I presume they think this might ameliorate the fuel shortages caused by the war with Russia. They're suckers if they believe this. Of course, many of their elites are also engaged in shady dealings in Cyprus and Israel.